NiP vs. Astralis at Dreamhack Predictions

Conclusion

Ahm tricky game here, both teams got defeated by Dignitas, NiP got absolutely crushed so they land here, in fact both teams also defeated CSGL so not much to separate here. I would favor Astralis here, as even though going into this tournament I liked NiP’s chances, I’m not 100% sold on them. BO3’s are back now so less randomness overall. There is rumors going around that Astralis lost to Dig so that they do not have to face LG, however not sure if I want to believe that. This should in theory be a close game, however I like Astralis more here. Ast to me, at the moment at least are more convincing than NiP, and as I said I am not 100% set on NiP yet. Overall 60-40 in favor of Astralis here.

Bet

3% Astralis under 67%, otherwise 3% NIP

My odds = 60-40 Astralis

My risk = High

My bet = 3% Astralis under 67%, otherwise 3% NIP

My advice = Same as my bet

My odds for this match: NiP 40:60 Astralis

This match is basically a coin flip, the risk is extremely high here and honestly either team could take it, I personally think that NiP should have a slight edge due to their history against Astralis, they have been winning pretty much all of the previous matches against them and performed quite well overall, the match against dignitas was a complete disaster but hey, Astralis also lost to them.

Both teams looked just fine on the first day, both lost to dignitas and beat Lounge Gaming, but even though NiP got absolutely demolished by dignitas, I still feel like they played better overall, not only on this even but also in the online matches, another thing is that Astralis used to take short breaks after big events such as MLG Columbus, while NiP always bootcamped and practiced a ton right before any lans, they also play better in the later stages of tournaments while Astralis are known for choking and never making it to the finals.

Honestly, I would stay away from this match but I just can’t skip this match with such stupid odds, NiP on 40% is ridiculous, I’m definitely going with NiP here.

My odds for this match: NiP 50:50 Astralis

Really close BO3 here between two teams who have been looking meh and OK. NiP lost their first game against Dignitas and looked awful there but they did seem to be awake against CSGL as they completely stomped them on CSGL’s best map as well, impressive stuff coming out of NiP there finally.

Astralis stomped CSGL in the first game but yesterday they were the ones who got stomped by Dignitas. Some say they did it on purpose because why would they ban mirage and inferno? seems kinda sketchy to me and I’m not entirely sure what Astralis was thinking. They might have been scared of LG but it’s not like playing against NiP is a free win at all.

Really close game here especially when you think that both teams always make it out of the groups. This will be a BO3 and the veto will be banbanpickpickbanbanpick. I think NiP will ban Overpass or Dust2, Astralis should ban Cobblestone and I expect NiP to pick Cache, after that Astralis should pick Overpass or Dust2, NiP should ban Mirage and I expect Astralis to pick Inferno over Train. Probably going to be Cache, Dust2/Overpass, Inferno/Train. In my eyes a 50-50 match where it’s going to come down whether NiP is awake or not. I think the best thing to do is here is to just play the odds and go for the underdog as I really think that it’s a 50-50.

My odds for this match: NiP 50:50 Astralis