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Winner Astralis
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EnVyUs vs. Astralis at ESL Predictions

ENVYUS below 40% is not something we see very often, this time they are on around 25% mostly because of their recent team issues, performance on IEM Katowice and roster change, ENVYUS replaced kioShima with DEVIL who’s a great player but nowhere close to kio when it comes to experience and stuff, they need a lot of time to get good with their new 5th player and winning these upcoming ESL ESEA Pro League matches will be a very hard task for them.

This match will be played on train and it’s quite tricky, ENVYUS were always very inconsistent on that map while Astralis used to ban it pretty much ever single series, although they have been practicing train a bit more lately and their results are much better, additionally ENVYUS lost against Gamers2 on train recently and I’m sure Astralis watched the demo and will be prepared for this match.

This match might seem close but I would put the odds at at least 65-35 maybe even 70-30 for Astralis, I doubt ENVYUS will be able to beat them because they didn’t have much time to practice with DEVIL yet.

My odds for this match: EnVyUs 30:70 Astralis

BO1 on Train between two tier1 teams. We all know how EnVyUs have been performing recently, they picked up DEVIL and aren’t looking that good, they lost two BO1’s against G2 but did manage to win two BO1’s against FlipSid3 which I would call quite impressive. Train is the map, and nV played on this map against G2. I expected a stomp here from G2 but it ended only 16-12 in favour of G2, nV’s T side didn’t look that good, usually their best side.. Overall this map never felt really close, it always felt like G2 would win it.

Astralis are pretty decent on Train, they know how to hold the sites and can easily get 10+ CT rounds against any team. Astralis’s main problem on this map are executions. They don’t really have the strongest executions on this map but thanks to a good CT side, they always manage to scrape out a win.

Historically a close H2H match and the most recent H2H was also on Train, Astralis had a 12-3 CT side here and that was with kioshima as well. nV with DEVIL just seem to be having a really weak T side on this map, I think that this could be a replay of the BO1 at IEM on Train but the thing here is; the odds. They are simply incredibly inaccurate, it’s still a tier1 vs tier1 match in a BO1, so the best bet would be to go low on nV.

My odds for this match: EnVyUs 40:60 Astralis

Option 2Bet Astralis if odds 60% or less

Medium (8%)

high risk

Hard to call game. I would favour Astralis going into this game, but the odds right now are far off for a BO1 on Train between two top teams. 26%? Even if Envy are having issues, if they took both pistol rounds and started on CT, the game would almost be over. Astralis have been in really good form lately, but Envy used to be their kryptonite. They used to always struggle against Envy, and if they are on point today, this game could be a close one. Games between two sides like this are never more than 60-40 for one side, and because of that, the only logical thing you can do, is go LOW/ICB on Envy.

My odds for this match: EnVyUs 40:60 Astralis

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Option 2Bet Astralis if odds 65% or less

Small (5%)

high risk

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