A list of recent matches this team has played, green indicates a win and red a loss. Blue is a draw/cancelled
Once again I’m writing the same prediction for both matches between Renegades and Liquid because I want to do the same thing in both anyway.
So we have a match between Renegades and Liquid and this is one is very interesting, Liquid are extremely inconsistent and they showed it in the match against Optic yesterday, they got demolished on overpass (1-16), but won the two following maps and took the series 2-1, also played two maps against Cloud9 and two against Luminosity, and yup, Liquid lost all four maps. Cloud9 wrecked them 16-2 and 16-11, however one of their matches against Luminosity was extremely close and Liquid should have won that map, they had a 12-3 lead on cobblestone and somehow managed to lose it 14-16…
Renegades is the most underestimated team in this group, I strongly believe that they are even better than Liquid at the moment, they had a very close map against Luminosity, at least one of the maps was close becuase the second one was a quick 16-0 in favor of LG, but overall they looked fine. That’s it for Renegades, they played only two matches on ELEAGUE so far and didn’t play in quite a while, their last matches before ELEAGUE were two best of three’s against TyLoo and Renegades actually managed to win one 2-1.
This match is basically 50-50 and Liquid are 0-4 in the group so they will most likely get eliminated already, so Renegades can definitely win at least one of those matches and that’s why I’d suggest a small bet on Renegades here.
My odds for this match: Liquid 50:50 Renegades
Not much I can say here given that all the analysis is done on the previous game between these two that happens just minutes before this one kicks off. Most I can recommend here is watching the previous one, seeing how well the teams did respective to their chances of winning the map, and while not entirely base your bet off the performance, use it to adjust your odds based on what you saw. I think that Liquid should take this, however it could get very close and probably will, will not surprise me if we see a 1-1 split, depends on the maps really which we unfortunately do not have. Overall, not much to say if I do not want to be a parrot, 60-40 in favor of Liquid here.
3% Liquid under 67%, otherwise 3% RNG
My odds = 60-40
My risk = High
My bet = 3% Liquid under 67%, otherwise 3% RNG
My advice = Same as my bet
My odds for this match: Liquid 60:40 Renegades
I do personally favour Liquid a tiny bit in this match up but I don’t feel confident betting on them. They are incredibly hard to predict right now. Lets look at their matches just yesterday. One semi close map against C9, one they were destroyed on, one map against LG they were beaten badly on and then one map incredibly close they should have won but choked. They then beat OpTic 2-1, the team in form, after losing the first map 16-1. I don’t really know what to say about them other than in this current state, it is not advisable to bet on them.
Liquid looking okay right now, but second map is Train and you never know on a map like this. ICB on RNG or SKIP.
My odds for this match: Liquid 65:35 Renegades
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