A list of recent matches this team has played, green indicates a win and red a loss. Blue is a draw/cancelled
SK Gaming really need go get their shit together, they were the best team in the world and now they struggle in North America, barely beat NRG on dust2, lost 0-2 against Liquid, this is not the same SK Gaming, the old SK won two majors in a row, now I’m not sure if they would make it past the group stage, that’s pretty sad for the brazilian fans out there, and the fact that fer won’t play for at least another month is even more painful.
Luckily for SK they have a pretty weak opponent, not individually as Renegades’ players are great, but their team play is really bad and it really seems like cutting SPUNJ wasn’ta good move after all, they did alright against OpTic and almost beat Cloud9, but that’s all they did so far, lost four maps against Immortals and barely beat Prospects, not the best results if you ask me.
SK Gaming are the clear favorites, not necessarily for their recent results, but definitely for the history with this lineup (besides SHOWTIME), they didn’t perform too well lately, in fact they’ve played 6 maps in total with this lineup if you don’t count their showmatches against Na’Vi, they went 2-2 against Liquid and won 2-0 against NRG, not too bad, but as I already said, not nearly as good as the “original” SK.
So the tricky part about these two matches are the maps, no idea how good Renegades are on nuke, SK Gaming destroyed VP on it so they are clearly good, but Renegades have never played a single match on it, I also don’t think they practice that map at all considering that most teams just remove it, so SK Gaming is my pick on this map as well as dust2, so two medium bets on SK today.
My odds for this match: Renegades 30:70 SK Gaming
Nuke and D2, can it really get any more random than this? I honestly think Aztec and Insertion would probably feel more set in stone. Moving on, I do have to favour SK on both maps here. Nuke they have only played once, but they totally dominated VP on it at Cologne. On top of this, FALLEN is one of the keenest IGL’s around and I fully expect them to be really well drilled on this map, even with SHOWTIME. We have never seen RNG play it, so we cannot really make an educated guess for them. D2 should be closer, and although I don’t rate RNG that highly on it, SK showed yesterday they are not the greatest D2 side right now. I do expect SK to take both maps, but D2 has an asterix next to it. I will go LOW SK for Nuke, and ICB RNG for D2.
My odds for this match: Renegades 35:65 SK Gaming
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